Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.118640 0.127269 0.136208 0.146165 0.156954 0.168300 0.181143
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105450 0.118269 0.132228 0.148589 0.167280 0.188011 0.212811
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.094947 0.109688 0.126283 0.146413 0.170253 0.197685 0.231786
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.087435 0.103447 0.121966 0.145067 0.173246 0.206673 0.249579
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.080152 0.096739 0.116364 0.141427 0.172778 0.210946 0.261307
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074985 0.092131 0.112830 0.139835 0.174392 0.217469 0.275763
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071365 0.089130 0.110983 0.140059 0.178061 0.226493 0.293612
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067097 0.085026 0.107447 0.137808 0.178249 0.230826 0.305275
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.063867 0.082046 0.105138 0.136933 0.180055 0.237194 0.319793
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.062970 0.082025 0.106620 0.141064 0.188651 0.252956 0.347927
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060256 0.079439 0.104542 0.140224 0.190325 0.259201 0.362863
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057705 0.076940 0.102441 0.139197 0.191606 0.264844 0.377077
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.054448 0.073397 0.098838 0.136011 0.189814 0.266217 0.385400
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053271 0.072679 0.099101 0.138293 0.195968 0.279346 0.412019
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050784 0.070006 0.096489 0.136285 0.195697 0.282932 0.424169
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048720 0.067839 0.094488 0.135044 0.196449 0.287998 0.438776
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046157 0.064847 0.091170 0.131687 0.193814 0.287717 0.444784
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.044319 0.062833 0.089185 0.130218 0.193955 0.291659 0.457705
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.043076 0.061638 0.088344 0.130424 0.196660 0.299676 0.477652
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.041275 0.059547 0.086087 0.128348 0.195657 0.301708 0.487648
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.039921 0.058073 0.084695 0.127541 0.196609 0.306883 0.503172
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039842 0.058517 0.086216 0.131351 0.205139 0.324786 0.541576
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.038606 0.057146 0.084896 0.130577 0.206117 0.330174 0.558267